Quantum computers will win the next world war
Quantum computers, If an AI regained control of the US military nuclear attack and could react to any perceived enemy nation, then would it decide to win World War 3?
Fans of 80s cinema may recognize this question as to the plot of the classic sci-fi movie “Wargame” starring a young Matthew Broderick. It was an awesome but very silly movie that pairs well with popcorn and suspended disbelief. Nevertheless, the question asked remains valid.
[Note: Spoiler is early as the film is over 30 years old]
In the film, AI is finally stunned by the bullion argument after attempting to “win” against himself in Tic-Tac-Toe. Those who understand how AI actually works can find the whole plot of the film, but the ending is particularly worthy of a laugh. At least it was.
Computers today use binary logic, in short, it’s all a yes or no question which is a classic algorithm running. Even when researchers design AI to “assess” things, they usually break down the degree of grade decline into increments for the AI for yes or no questions.
But the AI of tomorrow cannot be taken from the realm of classical physics. Useful quantum computers are just around the corner – they should be there between next Tuesday and the year 2121.
With quantum computers, our military systems shouldn’t be forced to ask a yes or no question and certainly not run boring old binary simulations to determine the confidence factor for a given operation.
Researcher Prashant Shyamsunder of the Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory, US government’s Department of Energy Research Laboratory, recently published a fascinating article describing two new types of algorithms that could revolutionize quantum computing and, perhaps, for the military. A quantum directs the brain. AI system.
A press release from Fermi describes what the algorithm does by sorting the AI through a stack of 100 mixed vinyl records to find the only jazz album. As part of the general AI paradigm, a deep learning system would be trained on how jazz sounds, then it would analyze each recording individually until one of them finds a threshold of success. / failure for jazz.
The first proposal of the Shyamsunder algorithm would, in essence, allow a single AI to sort the entire stack of albums at the same time.
Quantum AI is not very smart, it is very fast and takes advantage of “layering”. Where classical AI operates in a single black box, quantum AI can leverage overlay to operate in multiple black boxes simultaneously.
Unfortunately, that doesn’t mean the answer is correct. When it’s a yes-no or no question, the odds are good. But if it’s a question that requires non-Boolean logic, like a 100 top rating for their laziness on a scale of 1 to 10, even a quantum computer needs a different kind of algorithm.
And what does the second algorithm according to Shyamsunder do?
According to a press release from Fermi Lab:
A second algorithm introduced in the article, called the quantum mean estimation algorithm, allows scientists to estimate the mean score of all recordings. In other words, he can assess how “Jazzy” the stack is as a whole.
Both algorithms remove scenario minimization in calculations with only two output types and instead allow more precise marking of information with quantum acceleration compared to conventional calculation methods for a range of outputs.
Obviously, Shyamsunder’s work has nothing to do with military operations, and the Fermi Lab, as mentioned, is owned by the DoE (not the DoD). His paper represents groundwork in the direction of basic functional quantum algorithms.
But what is a military AI technique if an intuitive and basic algorithm is not maintained?
One problem with today’s military logic systems – and the movie “Wargames” is that they are all based on binary thinking.
You can run a million simulations on advanced military software using cutting edge AI, but the limits of ‘pass / fail’ thinking will reduce almost any conflict in an arms race that will end in deadlock or mutually assured destruction. . . Happen.
But what if the confidence factor for a given military operation is not dependent on the binary simulation? The same quantum algorithm that can determine which album in a given stack is a jazz album that is 10 times faster than a binary system, and can easily determine the ease of a given album This combination of possible operational strategies would be the factor highest overall confidence level for a military operation.
In other words, where Sun Tzu has been asked to be able to carry out an entire battle before his eyes before that happens, and modern software like CMANO can simulate the whole operation, a simple quantum system A non-Boolean solution in progress Capable of making solid predictions about the outcome of a multi-phase war campaign.